NDplayin wrote:I like this QRF. What I like most about it is that it ulimately means nothing... as evidenced by that fact that so many teams have seeds over higher QRF ranked teams... but what a great foder for the speculation of the masses! I thought it would be fun to do some averages before tourneys start to see who has the "by the numbers" toughest road to success.... This would be fun to do again between districts and regions using only the qualifying teams.
Average by District Average by Region
1. District 14- 114.31 1. Region 7- 109.59
2. District 4- 110.65 2. Region 2- 102.63
3. District 6- 110.0 3. Region 4- 94.71
4. District 2- 105.96 4. Region 6- 93.76
5. District 7-
NDplayin wrote:Ok, I edited the Oak Grove correction which makes Divide County the highest ranked 4 seed. My bad, the tie-breaker for all those 3-4 district records must have been calculated incorrectly in the list I was looking at.
NDplayin wrote:Average QRF of the 8 teams to qualify for each region. Based on Run's end of regular season QRF numbers. District tournament games not factored in.
Region 7- 134.16
Region 2- 128.49
Region 1- 124.3
Region 4- 117.19
Region 6- 117.09
Region 3- 109.35
Region 8- 106.33
Region 5- 104.7
NDplayin wrote:That's your call Run... I don't leaving them with end of regular season, because in the post season you don't control your strength of schedule... the bracket determines it for you.
NDplayin wrote:This is how the regions stack up if you average the end-of-season QRF of the 4 remaining teams in each Region. In parenthesis are the two match-ups for each semi-final, along with QRF and QRF rank by region.
Region 7- 164.15 (1. Dickinson Trinity 200.3 vs. 5. Heart River 123.4) (2. Beulah 174.7 vs. 3. Hazen 158.2)
Region 4- 153.33 (1. North Star 196.7 vs. 2. Warwick 167.1) (3. Four Winds 151.3 vs. 5. Carrington 98.2)
Region 6- 148.7 (1. Berthold 169.5 vs. 3. Rugby 136.1) (2. Bottineau 163.9 vs. 4. Des Lacs-Burlington 125.3)
Region 1- 147.83 (1. C. Cass 195.8 vs. 2. Maple Valley 151.3) (3. Oak Grove 122.6 vs. 4. Kindred 121.6)
Region 2- 145.13 (1. Grafton 180.5 vs 5. Thompson 121.3) (2. Hatton-Nwood150.8 vs. 3. Cavalier 127.9)
Region 3- 141.8 (1. LaMoure 171.6 vs. 2. Linton-HMB 151.1) (3. Napoleon 141.6 vs. 4. Edgeley-Kulm 102.9)
Region 5- 136.9 (1. Shiloh Christian 163.7 vs. 2. TLM-M 144.7) (4. Washburn 113.9 vs. 10. Flasher 68.1)
Region 8- 107.1 (1. Powers Lake 133.2 vs. 3. Divide County 116.8 ) (4. Trenton 115.8 vs. 10. Ray 62.6)
Some observations I found interesting:
While the joy of sports is and always will be the unpredictability, Run's QRF numbers seem to be pretty accurate as far as odds setting. Every region still has it's #1 ranked team alive... and only regions 5 and 8 have a truely major suprise, with Ray and Flasher both alive both ranked 10th. Every semi-finalist in every other region is ranked in the top 5.
4 of the 8 regions are featuring a semi-final with the #1 against the #2 ranked teams
Every other region in the state has a higher 4 team average than the highest ranked team in Region 8.
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