steve34 wrote:Haven't heard if Wahpeton beat Oak Grove tonight, but assuming they did.
Shanley over Lisbon 25-14
Valley City over Central Cass 29-6
Standings:
Wahpeton 5-0
Shanley 4-1
Valley City 3-2
Lisbon 3-2
Central Cass 2-3
Oak Grove 2-3
Remaining schedule:
Lisbon: vs. Wahpeton, @ Kindred
Central Cass: vs. Kindred, @ Oak Grove
Valley City: vs. Grafton, @ Wahpeton
Now, all sorts of crazy things can happen, but projections would suggest that Wahpeton would defeat Valley City and Lisbon, Valley City would defeat Grafton, Lisbon would defeat Kindred, and Central Cass would defeat Kindred.
Central Cass vs. Oak Grove: tough call. If Central Cass wins out, and Lisbon and Valley City split, all three finish 4-3.
Three-way tie for third. Head-to-head tie-breaker not applicable, since Lisbon beat Valley City, Central Cass beat Lisbon, and Valley City beat Central Cass. Point differential procedure caps maximum one-game differential at 17, and uses differential to decide top team in the tie only. Remaining ties are broken using head-to-head.
Point differential summary:
Lisbon 20, Valley City 6 (Lisbon +14, Valley City -14)
Central Cass 21, Lisbon 8 (Central Cass +13, Lisbon -13) (Lisbon +1 overall)
Valley City 29, Central Cass 6 (Valley City +17, Central Cass -17) (Valley City +3 overall, Central Cass -4 overall).
Final point-differential totals:
Valley City +3
Lisbon +1
Central Cass -4
Result: Valley City wins point differential, and claims third place.
Remaining tie: Lisbon and Central Cass each 4-3. System uses head-to-head. Central Cass claims fourth, Lisbon finshes fifth.
Playoff scenario:
Valley City clinches a playoff spot with a win over Grafton or Wahpeton.
Lisbon clinches a playoff spot by winning, a split and a Central Cass loss, or a split and two Valley City losses.
Central Cass clinches a spot by winning out and a Lisbon loss or two Valley City losses.
Oak Grove has some scenarios to get in.
Valley City will most likely split. Wahpeton will most likely defeat Lisbon. Central Cass will most like beat Kindred. So, it probably comes down to the Oak Grove-Central Cass game. If Central Cass wins out, Lisbon will most likely miss the playoffs.
steve34 wrote:Haven't heard if Wahpeton beat Oak Grove tonight, but assuming they did.
Shanley over Lisbon 25-14
Valley City over Central Cass 29-6
Standings:
Wahpeton 5-0
Shanley 4-1
Valley City 3-2
Lisbon 3-2
Central Cass 2-3
Oak Grove 2-3
Remaining schedule:
Lisbon: vs. Wahpeton, @ Kindred
Central Cass: vs. Kindred, @ Oak Grove
Valley City: vs. Grafton, @ Wahpeton
Now, all sorts of crazy things can happen, but projections would suggest that Wahpeton would defeat Valley City and Lisbon, Valley City would defeat Grafton, Lisbon would defeat Kindred, and Central Cass would defeat Kindred.
Central Cass vs. Oak Grove: tough call. If Central Cass wins out, and Lisbon and Valley City split, all three finish 4-3.
Three-way tie for third. Head-to-head tie-breaker not applicable, since Lisbon beat Valley City, Central Cass beat Lisbon, and Valley City beat Central Cass. Point differential procedure caps maximum one-game differential at 17, and uses differential to decide top team in the tie only. Remaining ties are broken using head-to-head.
Point differential summary:
Lisbon 20, Valley City 6 (Lisbon +14, Valley City -14)
Central Cass 21, Lisbon 8 (Central Cass +13, Lisbon -13) (Lisbon +1 overall)
Valley City 29, Central Cass 6 (Valley City +17, Central Cass -17) (Valley City +3 overall, Central Cass -4 overall).
Final point-differential totals:
Valley City +3
Lisbon +1
Central Cass -4
Result: Valley City wins point differential, and claims third place.
Remaining tie: Lisbon and Central Cass each 4-3. System uses head-to-head. Central Cass claims fourth, Lisbon finshes fifth.
Playoff scenario:
Valley City clinches a playoff spot with a win over Grafton or Wahpeton.
Lisbon clinches a playoff spot by winning, a split and a Central Cass loss, or a split and two Valley City losses.
Central Cass clinches a spot by winning out and a Lisbon loss or two Valley City losses.
Oak Grove has some scenarios to get in.
Valley City will most likely split. Wahpeton will most likely defeat Lisbon. Central Cass will most like beat Kindred. So, it probably comes down to the Oak Grove-Central Cass game. If Central Cass wins out, Lisbon will most likely miss the playoffs.
steve34 wrote:As near as I have it figured:
Wahpeton has clinched a playoff spot. Clinches #1 seed with a win.
Shanley has clinched the #2 seed. Clinches #1 with a win a two Wahpeton losses (vs. Lisbon, @ Valley City).
Lisbon should finish 4-3. Valley City now predicted to finish 3-4. Central Cass should defeat Kindred to go to 3-3. Comes down to the Oak Grove vs. Central Cass game. If Central Cass wins, they are the three seed, and Lisbon is the four. If Oak Grove defeats Central Cass, Lisbon is the three seed, and Oak Grove, Central Cass, and Valley City are all 3-4. (If Shanley were to lose to Grafton, they could also finish 3-4).
Three way tie between Oak Grove, Central Cass, and Valley City: Valley City has tie breakers via head-to-head over both teams.
Four way tie--comes down to point spread. Not sure about that. Valley City would be +32 in the spread (+17 over Oak Grove and Central Cass, -2 to Grafton). Don't know the scores in the Oak Grove/Grafton game or the Central Cass/Grafton game. Obviously, the Central Cass/Oak Grove game hasn't happened yet.
Bisonguy06 wrote:No... Valley City is on the outside looking in. On paper, you'd expect Central Cass and Lisbon to end the year 4-3 and grab the last two playoff spots. Valley City can do no better than 3-4.
Valley City needs someone (a Kindred or an Oak Grove) to knock off one of these teams to create the three or four way tie situation that Steve described.
LPB'S37 wrote:Can someone please tell me why CC plays OG twice??
LPB'S37 wrote:Can someone please tell me why CC plays OG twice??
See Me wrote:LPB'S37 wrote:Can someone please tell me why CC plays OG twice??
I believe first one dint count to region play either right? Same wit botno n belcourt. They were scheduled twice first was called non-conference
Bisonguy06 wrote:The west now looks like this:
If Devils Lake beats Carrington and St. Mary's beats Ryan:
#1 - Trinity (7-0 in the region)
#2 - Devils Lake (6-1)
#3 - Carrington (4-3), head to head winner
#4 - St. Mary's (4-3)
If Devils Lake beats Carrington and Ryan beats St. Mary's:
#1 - Trinity (7-0)
#2 - Devils Lake (6-1)
#3 - Ryan (4-3), head to head winner
#4 - Carrington (4-3)
If Carrington beats Devils Lake:
#1 - Trinity (7-0)
#2 - Carrington (5-2), head to head winner
#3 - Devils Lake (5-2)
#4 - winner of St. Mary's and Ryan (4-3)
football101 wrote:<snip>
In my opinion the playoffs are down to three teams. Trinity will make the Championship, and Devils Lake will beat Wahp in the Semis. They might not stop Smith but they will score more points.
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