AAA Playoff Clinching Scenarios

The teams in Class AAA

AAA Playoff Clinching Scenarios

Postby caserace0710 » Fri Oct 02, 2015 9:26 am

There are a couple teams in AAA that can clinch playoff berths this week. Here are the scenarios listed below:

East Region:
  • Fargo South clinches a playoff berth with a win AND both Grand Forks Central and Grand Forks Red River lose
  • West Fargo clinches a playoff berth with a win AND West Fargo Sheyenne, Grand Forks Red River, and Fargo North all lose

West Region:
  • Dickinson and Minot can clinch a playoff berths if BOTH teams win AND Mandan loses
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Re: AAA Playoff Clinching Scenarios

Postby heimer » Sat Oct 17, 2015 10:52 pm

West Fargo clinches #1 seed in east. South and Davies have clinched berths.

If I have this figured right:
If only Red River loses=Sheyenne, Davies, South

The following are if Red River wins:

If only Sheyenne loses=Davies, South, Red River
If only Davies loses=Sheyenne, South, Davies
If only South loses=Sheyenne, Davies, South

If Sheyenne and Davies lose, South, Davies, Red River
If Sheyenne and South lose=Davies, Sheyenne, South
If South and Davies lose=Sheyenne, Davies, South
If all three lose=Davies, Sheyenne, South

Sheyenne clinches and is second with a win. They clinch a berth with a South or Red River loss.

South clinches second with a win and losses by both Davies and Sheyenne.

Davies clinches second with a win or a Sheyenne loss or losses by both South and Sheyenne.

Red River clinches a spot with a win, a South win and a Sheyenne loss
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Re: AAA Playoff Clinching Scenarios

Postby heimer » Sun Oct 18, 2015 12:21 am

I'll try this for the west:

Minot and Dickinson are in.

Minot, Bismarck, and Century win:
Minot, Century, Dickinson, Bismarck

Minot, Century, Mandan win:
Minot, Dickinson, Century, Mandan

Minot, Bismarck, Williston win:
Minot, Dickinson, Bismarck, Century

Minot, Mandan, Williston win:
Minot, Dickinson, Mandan, Century

Dickinson, Bismarck, Century win:
Dickinson, Bismarck, Minot, Century

Dickinson, Mandan, Century win
Dickinson, Minot, Mandan, Century

Dickinson, Mandan, Williston win
Dickinson, Minot, Mandan, Century

Dickinson, Bismarck, Williston win:
Dickinson, Bismarck, Minot, Mandan

So:
Minot clinches top seed with a win. Clinches a home game with a Mandan win
Dickinson clinches top seed with a win. Clinches a home game with a Williston win
Bismarck clinches a berth with a win. Clinches a home game with a win and a Dickinson win. Out with a loss.
Century clinches with a win, a Dickinson loss, or a Minot and Bismarck loss. Clinch a home game with a win and a Dickinson loss.
Mandan clinches a berth with a win or with a Minot and Century loss.
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Re: AAA Playoff Clinching Scenarios

Postby Mandan » Mon Oct 19, 2015 12:51 pm

heimer wrote:I'll try this for the west:

Minot, Bismarck, Williston win:
Minot, Dickinson, Bismarck, Century

Mandan clinches a berth with a win or with a Minot and Century loss.


I'm a little confused on this one scenario.

If this happens (Minot, Bismarck, Williston win), the region records would be

Minot: 6-1
Dickinson: 5-2
Bismarck:5-2
Mandan:4-3
Century:4-3
Willston:3-4

Mandan beat Century head to head, so how would Century win a two way tie breaker?

In fact, just checked wdasports.org, and they have this listed showing that Mandan gets in with a Century loss.

Mandan, 4-2
Remaining schedule: Home vs. BHS, Oct. 21
How does Mandan make the playoffs?
A win over BHS
OR
A Century loss to Williston

How high can Mandan finish?
Third
How low can Mandan finish?
Fourth
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