Playoff Scenarios

[Sorenson23]

Still a few weeks to go for AA and AAA. But, with two weeks left in each Class A & 9 Man. Feel to post and comment on the said scenarios.

[ChickenNuggets]

Region 1-
Kindred needs to win one of the last two games to win the region, or they could go 0-2 if Central Cass loses one of their last two.

Central Cass is pretty solidly set at #2 unless they lose to Ellendale/Edgely and then EE goes on to also beat Kindred. Not likely.

The winner of Oakes and Lisbon is likely #3 in the region with the loser being #4... again, unless EE beats Central Cass AND Kindred these next two weeks in succession.

Most Likely Scenario:
1- Kindred
2- Casselton
3/4- Determined by winner between Oakes and Lisbon
On the bubble- E-E-K


Region 2-
Langdon and Carrington will play for the Region Championship next week. Loser will be #2 in the region.

There are still 3 teams alive for the #3 and #4 spots. Harvey, Cavalier, and Thompson. Bottineau is eliminated because the best they could do is create a 3-way tie with two of these teams and they have lost head to head to all of them so that would eliminate them.

Harvey is @ Cavalier this week. If Harvey wins, they are #3 and then Cavalier hosts Thompson next week and that game would be a play-off game for the #4 spot. Win and you're in, lose and you're done. If Cavalier beats Harvey, They are most likely the #3 with Harvey #4 UNLESS Thompson beats Langdon and then beats Cavalier the following week.

Most Likely Scenario:
1- Langdon/Carrington Winner
2- Langdon/Carrington Loser
3- Harvey/Cavalier winner
4- Harvey/Cavalier loser or Thompson
on the bubble- Cavalier or Thompson

Region 3-
There's a lot riding on Velva vs. Bishop Ryan. If Velva wins it will go 1-Velva, 2, DLB, 3- Ryan, 4- Stanley. If Bishop Ryan wins it would create a 3-way tie and would come down to point differential. If Bishop Ryan wins by 11 points or less, it wouldn't change the above scenario, Velva still wins the tie-breaker to get #1, DLB #2 based on Head to Head over Bishop Ryan, Bishop Ryan #3 and Stanley #4... Theo only way this Changes is if Bishop Ryan wins by 12 or more, then they would win the tie-breaker on points and be #1, Velva would slide down to #2 having still beat DLB head to head, DLB would go to #3 and Stanley stays at 4.

Most likely Scenario-
1- Velva
2- DLB
3- Bishop Ryan
4- Stanley

Region 4-
Beulah vs. Killdeer is huge for this region this week. All signs point to Trinity finishing #1 and Shiloh #2. Even if one of these two teams loses at this point it really wouldn't move them. They would have to lose twice to move out of these positions and that's not likely. If Killdeer beats Beulah, they pretty well have #3 wrapped up. If Beulah doesn't beat Killdeer, they would very likely have to beat Shiloh to hang onto the #4 spot. That could be tough. Bowman has a head to head over Beulah so there's a good chance they sneak into that #4 spot with two very winnable games remaining on their schedule.

Most Likely Scenario-
1- Trinity
2- Shiloh
3- Killdeer
4- Bowman
On the bubble- Beulah

[maddog1971]

Great Post Nuggs...... I don't think any of the top teams in each region has a chance to lose so I think what you have written is what will be. BUT.... Everyone of these teams is an injury or two away from being in trouble.
Let's Say Velva QB and running back get hurt and are out for the year... image what that does? Do you still think Velva is the top team in the State... NOPE.....

[WalkingStick]

This is what I have after tonight's games

REGION 1
1 - Kindred
2 - Central Cass
3 - Oakes
Lisbon clinches #4 with a Win OR an EEK Loss

REGION 2
#1 Langdon/Edmore/Munich
#2 Carrington
#3 Cavalier
#4 Harvey-Wells County

REGION 3
1 - Velva/Garrison/Drake-Anamoose

4 Teams technically still alive: DLB, Stanley, Bishop Ryan & Nedrose (Scenarios ordered by most likely)
SCENARIO #1 - DLB def. Stanley; BR def. Nedrose
#2 Seed: DLB; #3 Seed: BR; #4 Seed Stanley

SCENARIO #2 - Stanley def. DLB by any score; BR def. Nedrose
Three Way tie at 5-2 in the Region: Point Differential BR: +11, DLB +6, Stanley -17
#2 Seed: BR; #3 Seed: Stanley; #4 Seed DLB

SCENARIO #3 - DLB def. Stanley; Nedrose def. BR
#2 Seed: DLB; #3 Seed: BR; #4 Seed: Stanley

SCENARIO #4 - Stanley def. DLB; Nedrose def. BR
#2 Seed: Stanley; #3 DLB; #4 Nedrose

REGION 4
1 - Dickinson Trinity
2 - Shiloh Christian
3 - Killdeer

Bowman County clinches #4 Seed with a Win over Hazen OR a Beulah Loss to Shiloh
Beulah clinches #4 Seed with a Win over Shiloh AND a Bowman County Loss to Hazen

[ChickenNuggets]

With a week to go- Here are the MOST LIKELY 1st round playoff scenarios:

Harvey @ Kindred
Oakes @ Carrington vs. Langdon Loser

Lisbon @ Carrington vs. Langdon Winner
Cavalier @ Central Cass

Bowman @ Velva
Bishop Ryan @ Shiloh Christian

Stanley @ Dickinson Trinity
Killdeer @ Des Lacs/Burlington

[WalkingStick]

With a week to go- Here are the MOST LIKELY 1st round playoff scenarios:

Harvey @ Kindred
Oakes @ Carrington vs. Langdon Loser

Lisbon @ Carrington vs. Langdon Winner
Cavalier @ Central Cass

Hazen @ Velva
Bishop Ryan @ Shiloh Christian

Stanley @ Dickinson Trinity
Killdeer @ Des Lacs/Burlington

Hazen?? Check that again…did u mean Bowman?

[psycho]

Looks like 4 teams have realistic chance in playoffs. Velva, Langdon, Kindred and Central Cass. If current order stays true, a Langdon/CC game wii be interesting in second round. That will be a really good game and the first test for Langdon this year. Don’t really see Velva or Kindred getting beat in first two games. Don’t know how bracketing works when they get to semis, but there should be some really good games in that round.

[ChickenNuggets]

With a week to go- Here are the MOST LIKELY 1st round playoff scenarios:

Harvey @ Kindred
Oakes @ Carrington vs. Langdon Loser

Lisbon @ Carrington vs. Langdon Winner
Cavalier @ Central Cass

Hazen @ Velva
Bishop Ryan @ Shiloh Christian

Stanley @ Dickinson Trinity
Killdeer @ Des Lacs/Burlington

Hazen?? Check that again…did u mean Bowman?

Haha yep, I had looked at Bowman's schedule to see who they played this final week and they played Hazen and then had them stuck in my mind as I was typing. Thanks for catching that.

[Sorenson23]

Same here, I don't think all of these games will be blowouts.

[maddog1971]

Yes teams can get blown out but to be honest it is playoff football.... anyone can win and upsets will happen. Injuries can happen..... Velva could have the QB and two main running backs go down... Do they still go to state? Probably not. Because they kids are also main kids on defense as well.
Last year Kindred lost it's main two Linebacker, two running backs and two safeties in the same game and ended up being upset by CC who went onto play of the state title and probably should have won (they should have handed off to the stud running back on the goal line)

[WalkingStick]

CLASS A SEEDS ARE SET
REGION 1
#1 Seed: Kindred
#2 Seed: Central Cass
#3 Seed: Oakes
#4 Seed: Lisbon

REGION 2
#1 Seed: Langdon/Edmore/Munich
#2 Seed: Carrington
#3 Seed: Cavalier
#4 Seed: Harvey/Wells County

REGION 3
#1 Seed: Velva/Garrison/Drake-Anamoose
#2 Seed: Des Lacs-Burlington
#3 Seed: Bishop Ryan
#4 Seed: Stanley

REGION 4
#1 Seed: Dickinson Trinity
#2 Seed: Shiloh Christian
#3 Seed: Killdeer
#4 Seed: Bowman County