Run4Fun2009 wrote:Run4Fun2009 wrote:EHS1998 wrote:I'm just curious, as it seems inferred above and I also read in the Jamestown Sun that were Oak Grove to upset Northern Cass, there could be tie breaker scenarios, regardless of the result in Oakes. I very well may just be dense, but I can't see how this would be the case. Oak Grove, with no wins in the region, can't qualify for the playoffs, even if they beat NC. NC, at 4 and 1 in the region, is locked in at #2 in Region 1, regardless of if they were to lose to OG. The winner of Oakes vs EEK will be 3 and 2 in the Region. Even if Carrington (5 and 0 and locked in at the 1 seed) would lose to MNS, MNS would still only be 2 and 3. OG over NC and MNS over Carrington would both seem highly unlikely based on what has transpired to date this season but i'd like to understand a scenario where the Oakes vs EEK winner would not make the playoffs. By the way, its pretty cool to see EEK even mentioned in the playoff conversation after where that program has been in its short history. Jon Schiele and his staff deserve a ton of credit. Looking forward to battling a tough Oakes squad on Friday.
Carrington & Northern Cass have already clinched spots...and the only scenario that matters in Region 1 is the EEK vs. Oakes game.
Here's what EHS1998 was talking about from the Jamestown Sun: "The Thunder need Northern Cass (5-1) to beat Fargo Oak Grove (1-5) next week. If that happens, E-E-K's game at Oakes the same night will determine who gets the third and final playoff spot. An Oak Grove upset could create a tiebreaking scenario."
There is NO tiebreaking scenario possible...its winner of EEK/Oakes travels to Larimore; loser - season ends.
well I got a bit ahead of myself...winner moves on to play, most likely, at Larimore...there are a few more possibilities in R2...but I don't see H-WC defeating Park River this week.
Here is what I've come up with:
Region 1Carrington is the #1 and Northern Cass is the #2 already
Winner of Oakes/EEK gets the #3 seed
Region 2Park River/F-L has already clinched
Park River/F-L scenarios#1 seed: A win OR Rugby loss
#2 seed: A loss AND Rugby wins
Harvey/Wells Co scenarios#1 seed: A win AND Larimore loss
#3 seed: A Larimore win OR Larimore loss by fewer than 17 points
Larimore scenarios#2 seed: A win OR loss by fewer than 17 points
#3 seed: Lose by 17 or more points AND Park River/F-L wins by 2 or more points
Rugby scenarios#2 seed: A win by 17 or more points AND Park River/F-L wins by 2 or more points
#3 seed: A win AND Park River/F-L loss
If Park River/F-L wins by exactly 1 point AND Rugby wins by 17 or more points, then I believe that the #2 seed will be drawn out of a hat with head-to-head result between the other two teams determining the #3 seed. This is due to the fact that Harvey, Larimore, and Rugby all would have a 0 PD against each other and each team would have a +17 PD against all teams in the region.
Region 3Minot Ryan, Westhope/Newburg/Glenburn, and Velva/Sawyer are the three teams representing this region. All three teams are 3-1 and are 1-1 against each other.
Minot Ryan beat WNG 34-21
Velva/Sawyer beat Minot Ryan 36-6
WNG beat Velva/Sawyer 42-22
If all three teams finish with the same record in region play OR WNG wins AND Velva/Sawyer and Minot Ryan both lose:
#1 WNG (wins #2 tiebreaker with a +4 PD against Minot Ryan and Velva/Sawyer)
#2 Velva/Sawyer (based on H2H over Minot Ryan)
#3 Minot Ryan
If Minot Ryan and WNG both win AND Velva/Sawyer loses OR Minot Ryan wins AND Velva/Sawyer and WNG both lose:
#1 Minot Ryan (based on H2H over WNG)
#2 WNG
#3 Velva/Sawyer
If Velva/Sawyer and Minot Ryan both win AND WNG loses OR Velva/Saywer wins AND Minot Ryan and WNG both lose:
#1 Velva/Sawyer (based on H2H over Minot Ryan)
#2 Minot Ryan
#3 WNG
Region 4Killdeer, Hazen, and Southern McLean have all clinched playoff berths with Killdeer clinching the #1 seed
The Hazen/Southern McLean winner clinches the #2 seed, loser gets the #3 seed